Do you think we could come up with a longshot that might be able to make some noise in the Kentucky Derby?
One of the great things about betting the horses at VietBet is that you can choose either the “Plus 10%” or the “Rebate” program, and can otherwise get a ton of props on the Run For the Roses, which carries a post time of 6:50 PM ET on Saturday on NBC, live from Churchill Downs.
Kentucky Derby Odds – A Look at a Few Longshots
PROMISES FULFILLED (+6000) looked very good after posting an upset victory in the Fountain of Youth Stakes at Gulfstream, getting to the front and leading all the way, beating out GOOD MAGIC among others. But in the Florida Derby, he hit the all – in a very big way. Leading once again as they came into the last turn, the horse disappeared from view, finishing a distant ninth. How distant? Well, 35-1/4 lengths back. It wasn’t a matter of stretching things out to a mile and an eighth. “Things really didn’t go our way that day,” said trainer Dale Romans. At 1-1/4 miles, one has to wonder whether his charge can set the early pace again and hit the board.
VINO ROSSO (+1600 at VietBet) – There has been a lot of talk about this Todd Pletcher three-year-old, who is coming off a very good effort in the Wood Memorial which was redemption after getting beaten soundly by Quip and others in the Tampa Bay Derby. It is important to point out that the best effort (the Wood) in terms of Beyer speed figures, by far, happened at the longest distance Pletcher has sent him out for. Still more chatter has been made about the fact that John Velasquez had the opportunity to ride either Audible or Noble Indy, but chose to climb aboard Vino Rosso because he thinks that horse gives him the best shot to win the Derby. And remember that AUDIBLE is one of the favorites here, having won the Holy Bull and the Florida Derby back-to-back. The only problem is that he is breaking out of the #18 post position.
MY BOY JACK – Another interesting proposition could be MY BOY JACK (+1750), which just won the Lexington Stakes, a Grade 3 event at Keeneland. Here’s a horse that can close, regardless of the distance, and he’s been in with some class company; in fact, he was just three lengths behind Mendelssohn in last year’s Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf, even in the process of finishing seventh. What adds to the intrigue is that this is a horse that has posted its four best Beyer figures after moving from turf to dirt. He will closing from way back, but for his sake, hopefully from not TOO far back, as there are going to be a lot of horses to pass. Trained by Keith Desormeaux, ridden by brother Kent, who has three Derby victories to his credit (1998, 2000, 2008).
Others who may deserve some consideration, at least from the standpoint of including them in the exotics, include FLAMEAWAY (+5000), a close second in both the Tampa Bay Derby and Blue Grass Stakes, losing to very good horses in both (Quip and Good Magic); SOLOMINI (+2700), who has produced Beyer numbers in the 90s consistently and has hit the board every time out, including the Breeders Cup Juvenile, Rebel Stakes and Arkansas Derby and is trained by Bob Baffert; and HOFBURG (+1900), the low earner in the field, who has nonetheless been faster moving up twice in distance. This race also has an element of the unknown because of the 20-horse field and the relative inexperience of the contestants, so a big exacta or trifecta is certainly not out of the question.
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